Estimating the probability of earthquake magnitude between Mw = 4 and Mw = 5 for Turkey

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dc.contributor.authorDereli, Türkay
dc.contributor.authorÇetinkaya, Cihan
dc.contributor.authorÇelik, Nazmiye
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-06T17:29:47Z
dc.date.available2025-01-06T17:29:47Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description2nd IFIP Conference on Information Technology in Disaster Risk Reduction, ITDRR 2017 -- 25 October 2017 through 27 October 2017 -- Sofia -- 225519
dc.description.abstractEarthquake is a type of disaster that occurs suddenly in different magnitudes. When magnitude of an earthquake increases it is expected that the effects are much more. Earthquakes in varying magnitude between 4 Mw and 5 Mw cause uneasiness among the public even if they do not cause heavy damage. The aim of this study is to estimate the probability of an earthquake between 4.0 and 5.0 by using artificial neural network model. Monthly real data between 2006 and 2015 is used for the model. Data is analyzed in MATLAB neural network tool, then estimated output value obtained via analysis and output of test value is compared with regression equation. Besides, seasonal effects on magnitude of earthquake are examined. Results show that 90.51% of the earthquake probability between 4.0 and 5.0 can be estimated by using artificial neural network model. © IFIP International Federation for Information Processing 2019.
dc.identifier.doi10.1007/978-3-030-18293-9_9
dc.identifier.endpage107
dc.identifier.isbn978-303018292-2
dc.identifier.issn1868-4238
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85065440181
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage96
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-18293-9_9
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14669/1350
dc.identifier.volume516
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSpringer New York LLC
dc.relation.ispartofIFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology
dc.relation.publicationcategoryKonferans Öğesi - Uluslararası - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.snmzKA_20241211
dc.subjectArtificial neural network
dc.subjectEarthquake
dc.subjectMagnitude
dc.subjectMATLAB
dc.subjectSeasonal effect
dc.titleEstimating the probability of earthquake magnitude between Mw = 4 and Mw = 5 for Turkey
dc.typeConference Object

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