Estimating the probability of earthquake magnitude between Mw = 4 and Mw = 5 for Turkey
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Tarih
2019
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Springer New York LLC
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
Earthquake is a type of disaster that occurs suddenly in different magnitudes. When magnitude of an earthquake increases it is expected that the effects are much more. Earthquakes in varying magnitude between 4Â Mw and 5Â Mw cause uneasiness among the public even if they do not cause heavy damage. The aim of this study is to estimate the probability of an earthquake between 4.0 and 5.0 by using artificial neural network model. Monthly real data between 2006 and 2015 is used for the model. Data is analyzed in MATLAB neural network tool, then estimated output value obtained via analysis and output of test value is compared with regression equation. Besides, seasonal effects on magnitude of earthquake are examined. Results show that 90.51% of the earthquake probability between 4.0 and 5.0 can be estimated by using artificial neural network model. © IFIP International Federation for Information Processing 2019.
Açıklama
2nd IFIP Conference on Information Technology in Disaster Risk Reduction, ITDRR 2017 -- 25 October 2017 through 27 October 2017 -- Sofia -- 225519
Anahtar Kelimeler
Artificial neural network, Earthquake, Magnitude, MATLAB, Seasonal effect
Kaynak
IFIP Advances in Information and Communication Technology
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Q3
Cilt
516
