Investor sentiment and speculative bond yield spreads

dc.contributor.authorTurkmen Muldur, Gozde
dc.contributor.authorKandir, Serkan Yilmaz
dc.contributor.authorOnal, Yildirim Beyazit
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-06T17:30:17Z
dc.date.available2025-01-06T17:30:17Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.description.abstractThe valuation of risky debt is central to theoretical and empirical work in corporate finance. Although much is known on the returns and valuation of bonds, there is hardly a consensus on the risk components of the yield spreads. This article aims to investigate the effect of investor sentiment as a systematic risk factor on speculative bond yield spreads. After applying correlation analysis to deter-mine the strength of linear association between these two variables, a vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis and impulse response tests are used to examine the relationship between these two variables. The sample period extends from January 1997 to August 2014. In the VAR models, speculative bond spreads and consumer confidence index are used as endogenous variables. The results show that senti-ment covaries with the yield spread and have a negative effect on them. The spread level of the previ-ous period seems to be a statistically significant determinant of the current period sentiment. Empirical findings imply that investor sentiment is a systematic risk factor in risky bond markets. © 2019 Sciendo. All rights reserved.
dc.identifier.doi10.2478/fman-2019-0015
dc.identifier.endpage186
dc.identifier.issn2080-7279
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85073816170
dc.identifier.scopusqualityQ3
dc.identifier.startpage177
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.2478/fman-2019-0015
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14669/1568
dc.identifier.volume11
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopus
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherSciendo
dc.relation.ispartofFoundations of Management
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_20241211
dc.subjectBond spreads
dc.subjectInvestor sentiment
dc.subjectJunk bonds
dc.subjectSpeculative bonds
dc.subjectVAR analysis
dc.titleInvestor sentiment and speculative bond yield spreads
dc.typeArticle

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