What if the Covid-19 Pandemic Never Happened? Estimation of the Tourist Arrivals for 2020 Via Levenberg-Marquardt Optimization and K-Star (K*) Machine Learning Algorithms

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dc.contributor.authorŞeker, Ferhat
dc.contributor.authorBozkurt, Alper
dc.date.accessioned2025-01-06T17:22:51Z
dc.date.available2025-01-06T17:22:51Z
dc.date.issued2024
dc.departmentAdana Alparslan Türkeş Bilim ve Teknoloji Üniversitesi
dc.description.abstractBased on the probability theory, which is used to model uncertainty and randomness in real-world situations, the study aims to understand the impact of uncertain conditions, such as the Covid-19 pandemic, on the accuracy of the algorithms and the resulting losses to a country's tourism industry. The contribution of this paper to the international body of knowledge is twofold: firstly, it advances theoretical understanding of the use of probability theory in modelling real-world problems; and secondly, it offers a methodological approach for estimating tourist arrivals that accounts for the impact of extreme events. To achieve these aims, the Levenberg-Marquardt optimization was first applied to determine the optimal coefficients of the exponential function for estimating tourist arrivals from 1950 to 2020. Next, the K-Star machine learning algorithm was applied to the dataset with and without Covid-19 cases to estimate tourist arrivals.
dc.identifier.doi10.21325/jotags.2024.1402
dc.identifier.endpage717
dc.identifier.issn2147-8775
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.startpage703
dc.identifier.trdizinid1230388
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.21325/jotags.2024.1402
dc.identifier.urihttps://search.trdizin.gov.tr/tr/yayin/detay/1230388
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14669/500
dc.identifier.volume12
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizin
dc.language.isoen
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of Tourism and Gastronomy Studies
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Ulusal Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanı
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.snmzKA_20241211
dc.subjectMachine learning
dc.subjectArtificial intelligence
dc.subjectLevenberg-Marquardt Optimization
dc.subjectK* algorithm
dc.titleWhat if the Covid-19 Pandemic Never Happened? Estimation of the Tourist Arrivals for 2020 Via Levenberg-Marquardt Optimization and K-Star (K*) Machine Learning Algorithms
dc.typeArticle

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