Yazar "Gul, Hasan" seçeneğine göre listele

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    Analysis of tourism demand using a multi-dimensional panel gravity model
    (Emerald Group Publishing Ltd, 2020) Tatoglu, Ferda Yerdelen; Gul, Hasan
    Purpose - This study aims to estimate the determinants of international tourist flows between destinations by using the panel gravity model. Design/methodology/approach - The multi-dimensional panel gravity model was used to analyse tourism originating from 30 different countries to the 14 most-visited countries in the world between 2008 and 2016. Income (i.e. per capita gross domestic product for both the origin and destination countries), distance between countries, various economic indicators and six dummy variables were added to the gravity model as control variables. Findings - The results indicated that tourist arrivals depended mainly on economic factors, i.e. income and trade variables were significant determinants of tourist arrivals. The results also suggested that estimated international tourist flows are a negative function of distance, as is postulated in economic theory. Originality/value - In recent years, gravity models have been used frequently to analyse international tourism demand and have demonstrated their ability to evaluate the effects of various determinants of international tourism for many countries. The literature includes studies that used a two-dimensional panel gravity model to analyse the determinants of tourism demand to a single country from many different countries. This study differs in terms of specificity - in that, it relied on a three-dimensional panel gravity model that allowed for modelling of multiple destination countries. As a result, more comprehensive and general results relative to the determinants of tourism demand were obtained. In addition, the application of a non-nested three-dimensional panel data model, which has limited use, contributes a new perspective to the econometric literature.
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    DETERMINING TURKISH HOUSEHOLDS' TOURISM CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURES IN ECONOMIC CRISIS
    (Akdeniz Univ Tourism Fac, 2019) Gul, Hasan
    Crises may influence the most economies differently in the world and cause to diminish their national wealth and rise in unemployment rates. As a developing country, Turkey has been impressed by some economic slumps in the world in different periods. This study aims to investigate the tourism participation of households and estimate the most sensitive household groups after the 2008 financial crisis by employing Heckman two-stage model. It also reveals which household groups change their tourism consumption expenditures more in Turkey. The results show that variations in income elasticity during the crisis are different to household groups. In other words, households with high income level were not significantly affected by the world economic crisis, while households with low income reduced tourism consumption expenditures both in domestic and outbound tourism.
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    Estimating the effects of tourism growth on emission pollutants: empirical evidence from a small island, Cyprus
    (Springer, 2020) Katircioglu, Setareh; Saqib, Najia; Katircioglu, Salih; Kilinc, Ceyhun C.; Gul, Hasan
    This study searches the impact of tourism growth on emission pollutants in Cyprus (north), which is a small island in the Mediterranean and has shown significant development in hotel and casino sectors in the last two decades. Results from time-series analyses reveal that an inverted U-shaped EKC hypothesis is confirmed for Cyprus with and without tourism development. Tourism also exerts positively significant and long-term effects on the levels of carbon emissions, revealing that growth in the tourism sector causes degradation in the environment.
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    Frequency domain causality analysis of tourism and economic activity in Turkey
    (Varna Univ Management-Vum, 2018) Gul, Hasan; Ozer, Mustafa
    This paper studies the dynamic relationships between real Gross Domestic Product (GDP), real exchange rate (RER) and real tourism income (TOTREC) in Turkey over the period from 2003: Q1 to 2014: Q4 by using frequency domain causality approach developed by Breitung and Candelon (2006). Our findings reveal that real GDP Granger causes real tourism income both in the short-and long-run, while real tourism income only Granger causes real GDP in the short run. Moreover, there is no Granger causality neither between real tourism income and real exchange rate nor between real GDP and real exchange rate. These findings support Tourism-led Growth Hypothesis (TLGH) only in the short-run. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop and implement appropriate tourism policies so that the sector's contribution to economic growth can be extended to long-run. (C) 2018 Varna University of Management. All rights reserved